Investors are interested in crypto as a hedge against inflation or an investment vehicle, along with as a currency itself. Because there is nothing innately valuable backing crypto’s worth, it is reliant on speculative guesses rather than the actual value.
An investment in anything risky is sure to cause portfolios to fluctuate. Irregularities in investor expectations or perceptions can have an enormous impact on the value of an asset, making it extremely volatile.
It’s like taking a hot air balloon ride: you may like the view from the top, but once you realize you’re just suspended by hot air.
You’ll hope you can get off the ride without falling. Speculation frequently results in losses because what goes up must inevitably come down. But when will it? That is the question.
To make educated guesses about it, we will first need to understand what causes the volatility of cryptocurrencies. This way, one can make Bitcoin price predictions in 2025 year with confidence.
Still Considered to Be in its Nascent Stages of Development
Though cryptocurrency is more than a decade old, having started in 2009, it is still a relatively new business. It is gaining a lot of traction while also generating a lot of skepticism among investors.
The cryptocurrency industry is still small in comparison to traditional currencies or even gold, despite all the media attention it has garnered.
A tiny group of people who have a lot of cryptocurrencies can therefore affect the market. If they all sold their Bitcoin, the market would come to a grinding halt.
Fair Amount of Competition
New cryptocurrencies and tokens are being launched every day, and there are thousands of them in existence.
New entrants face a low bar at the entrance, but the success of a cryptocurrency depends on its ability to attract a large network of users.
Blockchain applications with beneficial features can quickly create networks, especially when they improve upon a competitor’s shortcomings.
In the event of a new competitor gaining momentum, the price of the incumbent drops while the new competitor’s token rises in value.
For the most part, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin have no underlying physical assets, unlike fiat currencies or commodities.
Their price is determined solely by supply and demand. Since many cryptocurrencies’ supply is fixed or predictable, the price is influenced by demand.
A currency’s value is not based on any tangible asset, nor is it regulated by governments. Digital numbers are the only evidence of their worth. People are more likely to sell Bitcoin if they don’t think its value will hold or rise in the future.
As a result of this, the price falls, and the cycle begins again, resulting in a rapid price drop. The inverse can also occur, resulting in an increase in prices and the formation of excessively high price bubbles.
Expertise is not required in this industry, unlike in real estate or the stock market. As a result, most of the investors are part-time workers.
Sometimes, though, when they don’t see immediate results, they become discouraged and leave. Volatility is a byproduct of people becoming involved and then withdrawing.
Media Plays Its Role
Cryptocurrency prices are heavily influenced by the media. Investors constantly monitor the media for anything that could raise or decrease prices. Everyone knows that as soon as something appears, it’s a buy-or-sell race and those that act slowly lose the most.
The price of cryptocurrencies is significantly impacted by digital currency news headlines. Unfortunately, many in the Bitcoin industry get their news from dubious websites and social media networks like Twitter.
It is not uncommon for the media to be the first to report on the most exciting cryptocurrency news, which ends up affecting the volatility of the currency.
Creating new Bitcoin requires mining. In the mining process, a computer verifies the next block on the chain. A decentralized network of miners keeps cryptocurrency running.
The protocol generates rewards in the form of cryptocurrency tokens in addition to any fees paid by trading parties to the miners.
The blockchain’s verification requires computing power. Cryptocurrency mining involves expensive equipment and electricity. Mining a cryptocurrency using a proof-of-work approach becomes more difficult as competition increases.
Miners compete to solve a tough arithmetic problem to verify a block. Mining becomes more expensive as more powerful equipment is required.
The cryptocurrency’s value must rise to keep up with rising mining costs. Miners won’t mine unless the coin they’re mining is worth enough to cover their costs.
In addition to the growth of the broader crypto market ecosystem, institutional investors and trading organizations are beginning to embrace the asset class with greater certainty, and a derivatives market for cryptocurrencies is also beginning to take shape.
It’s too early to tell whether or not the volatility of crypto assets will eventually resemble that of traditional financial assets.
However, as the asset class grows and develops, it will likely continue to regularly exhibit outsized volatility until it reaches full maturity in the future.